Sports wagering can be very profitable if anyone know the techniques this “smart money” gamblers apply to consistently make dollars. One of the biggest secrets that intelligent money bettors use is knowing when NOT for you to bet.
Here’s a great illustration. My spouse and i analyzed the Western world Va vs. Louisville sport, and concluded that West Va had typically the edge in the sport. Yet , I actually also realized that there were a good deal of random and unpredictable factors, and recommended to my clients that they carry out not wager on this kind of game. Here is my own analysis I released in advance of the game:
West Virginia versus Louisville
This sport features all the indications of being one of the greatest games associated with the year, having each teams coming into the adventure 7-0. It’s #3 graded West Virginia as opposed to. #5 ranked Louisville, equally having high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s activity was a classic, using Rest of the world Virginia coming rear from appearing down huge in the independence day quarter to winning within overtime.
So what’s the overall game appear like this year?
In the event this sport were turning into played at a neutral field, West Las vegas might probably be a 4-6 level favorite. Since this game is in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if can make sense…
West Virginia will be on an unprecedented throw. These people haven’t lost given that Jan. 1, 2005, proceeding 14-0 since they missing to Las vegas Tech. Inside the last two times they’re 13-5 ATS at the same time. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last dokuz activities overall, and 8-2 ATS in their previous 10 ROUTE games.
These kinds of are some very impressive stats that tilt the particular scales in favor of WVU with regard to tonight’s games. Plus, the particular added benefit is that WVU can be GETTING +1 point. This might not appear like much, but in a in close proximity match-up similar to this, that spare point could make the big difference between a push in addition to a loss.
But some of us wonder what about Louisville?
Louisville’s stats may be almost as good because WVU’s -except when that comes to Louisville within the point spread. In their very own very last 10 games, Louisville is just 4-6 ATS. The fact that said, Louisville is even so 7-3 ATS into their last 10 home games.
And if you’re leaning to WVU, here’s a scary stat… Louisville hasn’t misplaced at home since 12 , 17, the year 2003! During this latest run Louisville is averaging 49. 4 points for every game at home, while hitting only quitting 15. 6 points per game at home. In case a person didn’t do the mathmatical, that means considering that their last home decline they also have averaged beating their opposing team by simply about thirty four points per game.
What’s more remarkable, the average line during these games has only been recently 21 points. That stands for Louisville has beaten this spread, on average, by means of 13 factors per online game at home given that 2003.
Wow… how can you go against that?
Here’s the way…
Nearly all of those stats ended up developed during the 2006 season. In 2010, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to fine than great. They are yet to possessed recent games by which they already have only scored 35, 3, 24 points. That video games weren’t against Kansas St. or Michigan. That they had been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St.
Basically the fact that this is still a new close match to contact. Nevertheless the things i look regarding is West Virginia’s safety to carry the moment. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St. can most hold Louisville under 35 points, then there’s no explanation to think WVU can’t have one to typically the low to middle of the 20’s. My honest suggestion is definitely to lay off this game and not guarantee at all. There are Bookmakers stranieri with more simple strengths.
The final score with this game was Louisville forty four, West Florida 34. Lousiville won because West Florida had 6 fumbles in addition to allowed Lousiville to come back some sort of punt for the TD. The bottom line was the fact that West Virginia’s fringe weren’t so big which they may possibly still win soon after making so many mistakes. Simply by not betting on this particular activity, people serious with regards to wagering saved money that they can put to better make use of on coming games.