Sports playing can be very profitable if you know the strategies the particular “smart money” gamblers make use of to consistently make dollars. One of the biggest secrets that intelligent money bettors use is usually knowing when NOT to be able to bet.
Here’s a best example. We analyzed this Rest of the world Florida vs. Louisville match, and concluded that West Virginia had the particular edge in the match. Nevertheless , My partner and i also noticed that there were a lot of random and unpredictable factors, and recommended to a clients that they do not guarantee on this game. Here is my own analysis I released just before the game:
West Virginia or Louisville
This activity offers all the symptoms of being one of the very best games connected with the year, using the two teams coming into the adventure 7-0. It’s #3 positioned West Virginia against. #5 ranked Louisville, both equally along with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s sport was a classic, along with Rest of the world Virginia coming backside from becoming down huge in the next one fourth to winning inside overtime, however,.
So what’s the adventure look like this year?
If W88 were as played with a simple field, West Virginia would certainly probably be a 4-6 place favorite. Since the particular game was in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this will make sense…
West Virginia will be on an unprecedented move. These people haven’t lost considering that Jan. 1, 2005, going 14-0 since they dropped to Florida Tech. Inside the last two conditions they’re 13-5 ATS at the same time. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last being unfaithful games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their very last 10 PATH games.
These kind of are some very amazing stats that tilt often the scales in favor associated with WVU regarding tonight’s online. Plus, this included bonus is that WVU will be GETTING +1 point. This can not look like very much, but in a close up match-up this way, that extra point could make the big difference between a good push in addition to a loss.
But some of us wonder what regarding Louisville?
Louisville’s statistics are almost as good as WVU’s -except when this comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their very own past 10 games, Louisville is only 4-6 ATS. The fact that said, Louisville is in spite of everything 7-3 ATS inside their very last 10 home games.
And even if you’re leaning towards WVU, here’s a daunting stat… Louisville hasn’t missing in your own home since January 20, 2003! During this latest run Louisville is hitting 49. 5 points per game in your own home, while hitting only leaving behind 15. 8 points for each game with home. In case you didn’t do the math, that means considering their own last home damage they already have averaged beating their very own oppositions by about thirty four factors per game.
Even greater outstanding, the average line in these games has only already been 21 points. That method Louisville has beaten typically the get spread around, on average, by means of 13 things per activity at home since 2003.
Wow… how can a person not in favor of that?
Almost all of those stats had been built up during the june 2006 season. In 2010, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to fine than great. They also have experienced recent games in which they’ve only scored 35, twenty-three, 24 points. These types of games weren’t against Ohio Stycken. or Michigan. They will ended up against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St.
To put it succinctly of which this is still a good close match to call. Although the things i look regarding is West Virginia’s security to carry the time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St. can most hold Louisville under 30 points, then there’s virtually no explanation to think WVU can’t hold them to the particular low to middle of the 20’s. My honest suggestion will be to lay off this specific game and certainly not bet at all. There usually are better activities this weekend with more simple advantages.
The final score on this game was Louisville 46, West Las vegas 34. Lousiville won because West Va had 6 fumbles plus allowed Lousiville to come back a new punt for a good TD. The results was of which West Virginia’s fringe was not so big which they could very well still win soon after producing so many mistakes. By not betting on this activity, people critical with regards to gambling saved money that they can put to better work with on approaching games.